05-12-2022, 01:21 PM
(05-12-2022, 01:16 PM)BostonCard Wrote: The premise being that BABIP reflects some degree of luck? I mean, that is to a large extent true, given the small sample sizes, but I also feel like it distinguishes people who make “quality contact” from those who make weak contact and hit a lot of pop-ups or weak grounders.
BC
Absolutely. BABiP isn't a strict reflection of luck, to be meaningful it needs to be examined in the context of quality of contact.
In this case, given that Bart hits the ball harder than Casali it stands to reason that Casali's high BABIP is likely unsustainable, and that the gap between him and Bart thus far this season is understated.
