[lex24]

Watching Pagan play T Ball with the Dodger hitters convinced me that the Padre skipper is gone about 1 minute after the last out Sunday. The skip has given up and just didn’t GAS and had nobody ready. Kapler ought to send him a telegram with middle finger up.

Tingler will be gone by 8AM Monday.  I think it’s highly possible that Bochy comes back to SD.  Astounding that 3 of first 4 hitters hit HRs and he stays in……



It’s going to take 107 wins to take the division.

107 wins will definitely win the division, but fewer wins would win if the Dodgers lose at least one in their last 4.  Dodgers have one game against the Padres and three against the Brewers; Giants have one more against Arizona and three against the Padres.  None of the opponents have anything left to play for.  Brewers have clinched the NL Central; Padres have been eliminated.  Padres are in a tailspin; they are 1-9 in their last 10 but might be motivated to play spoiler.  Brewers are a better team, but are 4-6 in their last 10, and will be playing to set up their rotation for the divisional series.  Arizona has the wort record in the NL.

Here's my best guess:
Giants go 106-76
Dodgers go 105-77

538 puts the chances of the Giants winning the division at 90% (that includes the chances of a tie with the Giants winning the 1-game tiebreaker).

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/202...id=rrpromo

I'm not quite at 90%, but it's definitely higher than 50/50 (I would much rather be in the Giants shoes than the Dodgers' shoes).

BC

Giants have to win 3 of 4. Cause the Dodgers will run the table.  Giants really got hosed by the way the schedule ends.  Brewers have nothing to play for.  I don’t think Dodgers will see either Burnes or Woodruff.  I wouldn’t pitch them if I’m Craig Counsel.  I don’t want the Dodgers to see them prior to the playoffs.  They lost their set-up man.  So they will get a bunch of the Brewers back end pitchers.  He will play the starters some on Friday and Sat.  But probably not much Sun.

Oh, and the Dodgers miss Musgrove.  (They also missed Bumgarner in both late Az series).


Meanwhile, Padres WILL be motivated.  Whether Tingler is or not.  

Bum has his playoff game tonight.  He isn’t what he was.  But he is a fierce competitor.  And he will want to shine tonight.  I love the guy. But I hope he gets raked. 

Win tonight.  Take 2 of 3 vs Pads.  

Not an easy task.  

107 wins to take the division.  Unreal.

Edit: ESPN has Burnes going Saturday. I’ll believe it when I see it. And if he does go, I’m thinking maybe once through the order.

---

Ore bad news - Watson to IL with shoulder strain. He’s been a big part of the bullpen down the stretch.

[lex24]

Watching Pagan play T Ball with the Dodger hitters convinced me that the Padre skipper is gone about 1 minute after the last out Sunday. The skip has given up and just didn’t GAS and had nobody ready. Kapler ought to send him a telegram with middle finger up.

Tingler will be gone by 8AM Monday.  I think it’s highly possible that Bochy comes back to SD.  Astounding that 3 of first 4 hitters hit HRs and he stays in……



It’s going to take 107 wins to take the division.

107 wins will definitely win the division, but fewer wins would win if the Dodgers lose at least one in their last 4.  Dodgers have one game against the Padres and three against the Brewers; Giants have one more against Arizona and three against the Padres.  None of the opponents have anything left to play for.  Brewers have clinched the NL Central; Padres have been eliminated.  Padres are in a tailspin; they are 1-9 in their last 10 but might be motivated to play spoiler.  Brewers are a better team, but are 4-6 in their last 10, and will be playing to set up their rotation for the divisional series.  Arizona has the wort record in the NL.

Here's my best guess:
Giants go 106-76
Dodgers go 105-77

538 puts the chances of the Giants winning the division at 90% (that includes the chances of a tie with the Giants winning the 1-game tiebreaker).

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/202...id=rrpromo

I'm not quite at 90%, but it's definitely higher than 50/50 (I would much rather be in the Giants shoes than the Dodgers' shoes).

BC

Giants have to win 3 of 4. Cause the Dodgers will run the table.  Giants really got hosed by the way the schedule ends.  Brewers have nothing to play for.  I don’t think Dodgers will see either Burnes or Woodruff.  I wouldn’t pitch them if I’m Craig Counsel.  I don’t want the Dodgers to see them prior to the playoffs.  They lost their set-up man.  So they will get a bunch of the Brewers back end pitchers.  He will play the starters some on Friday and Sat.  But probably not much Sun.

Oh, and the Dodgers miss Musgrove.  (They also missed Bumgarner in both late Az series).


Meanwhile, Padres WILL be motivated.  Whether Tingler is or not.  

Bum has his playoff game tonight.  He isn’t what he was.  But he is a fierce competitor.  And he will want to shine tonight.  I love the guy. But I hope he gets raked. 

Win tonight.  Take 2 of 3 vs Pads.  

Not an easy task.  

107 wins to take the division.  Unreal.

Edit: ESPN has Burnes going Saturday. I’ll believe it when I see it. And if he does go, I’m thinking maybe once through the order.

---

Ore bad news - Watson to IL with shoulder strain. He’s been a big part of the bullpen down the stretch.