[BostonCard]

Also, Dodgers and Padres lost.  Giants are 5-up on the Dodgers and 8.5 games up on the Padres.  In fact, they are 4 games clear of the Tampa Bay Rays for the best record in baseball.  More to the point, their expected win/loss is also 74-41, so it is not like they have been especially lucky (just lucky that the Dodgers are 13-21 in 1-run games and 1-11 in extra inning games).

And yet, the Giants are still 7th by 538's Elo, behind the Dodgers and Padres. (https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/202...edictions/), but 538 has them as nearly guaranteed to make the playoffs, and slightly better than even of winning the division.

BC

[BostonCard]

Also, Dodgers and Padres lost.  Giants are 5-up on the Dodgers and 8.5 games up on the Padres.  In fact, they are 4 games clear of the Tampa Bay Rays for the best record in baseball.  More to the point, their expected win/loss is also 74-41, so it is not like they have been especially lucky (just lucky that the Dodgers are 13-21 in 1-run games and 1-11 in extra inning games).

And yet, the Giants are still 7th by 538's Elo, behind the Dodgers and Padres. (https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/202...edictions/), but 538 has them as nearly guaranteed to make the playoffs, and slightly better than even of winning the division.

BC