[Mick]

Estrada hitting .381 in the PCL.  What's the rule?  IIRC, subtract 100 hitting points from PCL to MLB, so he should be in the .281 range.

I wouldn't put too much stock in 115 AAA plate appearances this year, certainly not more than I would his 121 career major league plate appearances (with a 214/267/348 line.)

The six different sophisticated projection systems that FanGraphs publishes project him as ranging between 234/277/355 to 239/285/369.

Actually, I think I might put more stock in a 25 year old's recent plate appearances than year old or two year old MLB efforts.  His prior best AAA stat was .266/313/.452 -- and now he's hitting 115 points higher.  Maybe he improved, maybe the training/coaching got better, maybe he benefitted from a change of scenery.  Or maybe not.  We'll find out.  Seems as if you have him at a ceiling of .239.

[Mick]

Estrada hitting .381 in the PCL.  What's the rule?  IIRC, subtract 100 hitting points from PCL to MLB, so he should be in the .281 range.

I wouldn't put too much stock in 115 AAA plate appearances this year, certainly not more than I would his 121 career major league plate appearances (with a 214/267/348 line.)

The six different sophisticated projection systems that FanGraphs publishes project him as ranging between 234/277/355 to 239/285/369.

Actually, I think I might put more stock in a 25 year old's recent plate appearances than year old or two year old MLB efforts.  His prior best AAA stat was .266/313/.452 -- and now he's hitting 115 points higher.  Maybe he improved, maybe the training/coaching got better, maybe he benefitted from a change of scenery.  Or maybe not.  We'll find out.  Seems as if you have him at a ceiling of .239.