12-17-2020, 08:33 AM
Anyone else hear the clip of Dr. Cody literally crying about how awful the situation is in Santa Clara County? Anyone want to claim she's just acting?
It has to be really bad, and much worse than the public writ-large seems to be grasping, for someone who has been as professional and composed as she has been, to emotionally break like she did while being interviewed.
It seems there is clearly a segment of the population that is not taking the precautions necessary to stop spread. Asa a slice of the roughly 2 million Santa Clara County residents, what is that percentage? Do we know if it is 5%, 10%, 20%? And do we know the profile of those who are getting sick? Age? Ethnic background? Location in county? Or is it a wide cross-section? Then, can we identify any behavior those who are sick have engaged in that can be identified as a common denominator?
After seeing the study on NPI efficacy, it is clear full shutdowns are not necessary to stop spread. But this does not mean spread can stop without full shutdowns and Shelter in Place orders. What I mean is if a large enough percentage of the population continues to engage in risky behavior, the spread is not going to stop even with stay at home orders that keep businesses open, because that segment of the population is where all the spread is happening. If you have 80% following safety protocols, there is still 20% of the population not being safe. That's still 200,000 people engaging in risky behavior who are going to be infected. So no matter if the 80% is safe, you are still overwhelming the hospitals with the 20% not following guidelines. It's almost akin to AIDS when some people refused to wear protection during sex.
To me, it all adds up to this. As usual, a few ruin it for the many, so we will have no choice but to do a mandatory SIP and sanction people for violating the order. There were 110 new hospitalizations yesterday. It's been over 80 for several days in a row, which is unsustainable. We are still seeing 1,000 cases per day even two weeks after stay at home order. You can see why Dr. Cody was crying. She has done everything she can and it still isn't stopping the spread enough to keep the system afloat. If we don't see a real drop in new cases by Friday, the only way to get it under control is going to be a mandatory SIP. It sucks, but that is just what the reality indicates.
It has to be really bad, and much worse than the public writ-large seems to be grasping, for someone who has been as professional and composed as she has been, to emotionally break like she did while being interviewed.
It seems there is clearly a segment of the population that is not taking the precautions necessary to stop spread. Asa a slice of the roughly 2 million Santa Clara County residents, what is that percentage? Do we know if it is 5%, 10%, 20%? And do we know the profile of those who are getting sick? Age? Ethnic background? Location in county? Or is it a wide cross-section? Then, can we identify any behavior those who are sick have engaged in that can be identified as a common denominator?
After seeing the study on NPI efficacy, it is clear full shutdowns are not necessary to stop spread. But this does not mean spread can stop without full shutdowns and Shelter in Place orders. What I mean is if a large enough percentage of the population continues to engage in risky behavior, the spread is not going to stop even with stay at home orders that keep businesses open, because that segment of the population is where all the spread is happening. If you have 80% following safety protocols, there is still 20% of the population not being safe. That's still 200,000 people engaging in risky behavior who are going to be infected. So no matter if the 80% is safe, you are still overwhelming the hospitals with the 20% not following guidelines. It's almost akin to AIDS when some people refused to wear protection during sex.
To me, it all adds up to this. As usual, a few ruin it for the many, so we will have no choice but to do a mandatory SIP and sanction people for violating the order. There were 110 new hospitalizations yesterday. It's been over 80 for several days in a row, which is unsustainable. We are still seeing 1,000 cases per day even two weeks after stay at home order. You can see why Dr. Cody was crying. She has done everything she can and it still isn't stopping the spread enough to keep the system afloat. If we don't see a real drop in new cases by Friday, the only way to get it under control is going to be a mandatory SIP. It sucks, but that is just what the reality indicates.