[Goose]

That statistic ICU Beds/100K  doesn't take into account the true population filling those beds.  If Stanford hospital is taking some patients from (say) Tuolumne County, using SCC's population for the divisor isn't correct.   (That doesn't make the situation any less dire.)

True. San Mateo County breaks out the "out of county" patients moved by State of California actions, FWIW.

The numbers are squishy.  SCC had 9.5% more staffed ICU beds today than 3 days earlier, with only 3 more COVID ICU patients, but the problem was the 36 more non-COVID patients in the ICU.   The ICU % available staffed beds is being (appropriately) adjusted by the administrators according to the load.


In SCC, 0.00482% (93) of the county's population are COVID patients in the ICU.


In LAC, 0.00898% (843) of the population of L.A.County (excluding Pasadena & Long Beach) are COVID patients in the ICU.

This gets back to the "Which set of numbers" issue. The county websites seem to modulate their total ICU beds dynamically based on need, while the  State uses a different reference. Using the data from

https://public.tableau.com/views/COVID-1...VizHome=no

which is the link from the State website shows SCC with 1.8 beds available per 100K while LA County iw 4.38 (using the population figures you cited).

I can only assume that these are the numbers the state is looking at, which might account for the lack of panic about LA County even though the rest of us are looking at it like it is a disaster in the making.

The brakes haven't yet helped.  SCC R is about 1.6 today.  LA County is 1.55.  California has the highest R among the states at 1.53.

Sadly, not yet. There is a slight downturn in the recent curve, but that may just be the periodic variation we see in the previous month's data. Even if it is going down a bit, it is still well above 1 and would have to fall off a cliff to help much in the next few weeks.

[Goose]

That statistic ICU Beds/100K  doesn't take into account the true population filling those beds.  If Stanford hospital is taking some patients from (say) Tuolumne County, using SCC's population for the divisor isn't correct.   (That doesn't make the situation any less dire.)

True. San Mateo County breaks out the "out of county" patients moved by State of California actions, FWIW.

The numbers are squishy.  SCC had 9.5% more staffed ICU beds today than 3 days earlier, with only 3 more COVID ICU patients, but the problem was the 36 more non-COVID patients in the ICU.   The ICU % available staffed beds is being (appropriately) adjusted by the administrators according to the load.


In SCC, 0.00482% (93) of the county's population are COVID patients in the ICU.


In LAC, 0.00898% (843) of the population of L.A.County (excluding Pasadena & Long Beach) are COVID patients in the ICU.

This gets back to the "Which set of numbers" issue. The county websites seem to modulate their total ICU beds dynamically based on need, while the  State uses a different reference. Using the data from

https://public.tableau.com/views/COVID-1...VizHome=no

which is the link from the State website shows SCC with 1.8 beds available per 100K while LA County iw 4.38 (using the population figures you cited).

I can only assume that these are the numbers the state is looking at, which might account for the lack of panic about LA County even though the rest of us are looking at it like it is a disaster in the making.

The brakes haven't yet helped.  SCC R is about 1.6 today.  LA County is 1.55.  California has the highest R among the states at 1.53.

Sadly, not yet. There is a slight downturn in the recent curve, but that may just be the periodic variation we see in the previous month's data. Even if it is going down a bit, it is still well above 1 and would have to fall off a cliff to help much in the next few weeks.