[Genuine Realist]

We will see what happens when the actual rollout is instituted.  I suspect it will be a bit like the early voting was, with lots of stories of mishaps and people waiting in long lines and panic, but (hopefully) when we take a step back, it will turn out to be one of the most successful vaccination efforts ever.

Already, a 10 month development process is damned near miraculous.  Early on, I think it might have been Fauci who said it could be done in 12 - 18 months "if everything broke right".  Optimists said it would be great if the efficacy could be better than 70%; it will hit over 90%.  I have been down on a lot of things about how the pandemic has been handled, but the vaccine development process has not been one, and I am pretty sanguine about the distribution process.  It won't be flawless, but I think people are underestimating how much will be moved to manufacture and distribute it.

BC

I value the medical wisdom of the md's who post here, even those with whom I am in complete disagreement.

But when it comes to the logistics and management of vaccine distribution, I believe we have drifted into the area of operations research, a wholly separate field of study, with its own mathematics and expertise. Solving problems that may seem difficult or even insuperable to a lawyer or doctor is the way some people make a pretty good living. With a product for which there is universal demand, and in the distribution of which most major institutions will cooperate completely, the problems are likely to be very easily solvable, for those who know how to approach them.

[Genuine Realist]

We will see what happens when the actual rollout is instituted.  I suspect it will be a bit like the early voting was, with lots of stories of mishaps and people waiting in long lines and panic, but (hopefully) when we take a step back, it will turn out to be one of the most successful vaccination efforts ever.

Already, a 10 month development process is damned near miraculous.  Early on, I think it might have been Fauci who said it could be done in 12 - 18 months "if everything broke right".  Optimists said it would be great if the efficacy could be better than 70%; it will hit over 90%.  I have been down on a lot of things about how the pandemic has been handled, but the vaccine development process has not been one, and I am pretty sanguine about the distribution process.  It won't be flawless, but I think people are underestimating how much will be moved to manufacture and distribute it.

BC

I value the medical wisdom of the md's who post here, even those with whom I am in complete disagreement.

But when it comes to the logistics and management of vaccine distribution, I believe we have drifted into the area of operations research, a wholly separate field of study, with its own mathematics and expertise. Solving problems that may seem difficult or even insuperable to a lawyer or doctor is the way some people make a pretty good living. With a product for which there is universal demand, and in the distribution of which most major institutions will cooperate completely, the problems are likely to be very easily solvable, for those who know how to approach them.