[teejers1]

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamaint...le/2770542

I can't find the thread where it was asked, but I know someone (Teejers?) has been wondering what the risk of COVID-19 is to young people without identifiable risk factors.  The answer is that it is very low, but not zero.



The study was conducted in hospitalized adults aged 18 to 34.  Of course a small minority of adults that age are hospitalized.  However, among those who were, the risk of having to go on a ventilator, for those who didn't have any risk factors (obesity, diabetes, or hypertension) was about 7%, and the risk of death was between 1 and 2%.  You can see the dashed lines in the figure above to see the corresponding values in middle aged adults (35 - 64).

So, bottom line is that it is fair to characterize those people as low risk.  But it is not "no risk".

BC

Hmm.  Something doesn't quite seem right about that.  Maybe it's the limitation of 3 comorbidities (is that the universe?).  Maybe it's the way "Covid deaths" are attributed - an example:  kid ODs on drugs; hospital finds out he has Covid; dies.  I'm just spit-balling here, but even though it's limited to hospitalizations, I find that number high for otherwise healthy young people.  But maybe . . . 

P.S.  It was I who was wondering, so thanks for sharing.

[teejers1]

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamaint...le/2770542

I can't find the thread where it was asked, but I know someone (Teejers?) has been wondering what the risk of COVID-19 is to young people without identifiable risk factors.  The answer is that it is very low, but not zero.



The study was conducted in hospitalized adults aged 18 to 34.  Of course a small minority of adults that age are hospitalized.  However, among those who were, the risk of having to go on a ventilator, for those who didn't have any risk factors (obesity, diabetes, or hypertension) was about 7%, and the risk of death was between 1 and 2%.  You can see the dashed lines in the figure above to see the corresponding values in middle aged adults (35 - 64).

So, bottom line is that it is fair to characterize those people as low risk.  But it is not "no risk".

BC

Hmm.  Something doesn't quite seem right about that.  Maybe it's the limitation of 3 comorbidities (is that the universe?).  Maybe it's the way "Covid deaths" are attributed - an example:  kid ODs on drugs; hospital finds out he has Covid; dies.  I'm just spit-balling here, but even though it's limited to hospitalizations, I find that number high for otherwise healthy young people.  But maybe . . . 

P.S.  It was I who was wondering, so thanks for sharing.