09-11-2020, 09:27 PM
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamaint...le/2770542
I can't find the thread where it was asked, but I know someone (Teejers?) has been wondering what the risk of COVID-19 is to young people without identifiable risk factors. The answer is that it is very low, but not zero.
![[Image: m_ild200064f1_1599173479.5219.png?Expire...RDK6RD3PGA]](https://cdn.jamanetwork.com/ama/content_public/journal/intemed/0/m_ild200064f1_1599173479.5219.png?Expires=2147483647&Signature=BNIFEOmdu~fFlnlhyvmLGS3n6CJWKLaIp4A-hpJ8Jf5d8tWM6lt2Q~IbDN~JPhSq4P7vlqvlGh2Sn6tPflgd5LbxdYH~OszlU-5cs9d1hdU0cDprkvLNo9ppz0GGCeKdtbH9X66I1Vr4R5p4FJ0onmcLs33f1HabLxQ2Lxzcod0dCJhf7nmoSS8PxgqzZlxq3j-S9BZFnVvTnFO23CeafyGPDYY-NRozoVMfbXG8-IGxS9wGT6sapBuwjbjzSc3Fv4~n7UqqAUN5zPefbEx4L4dPSpWejhXFBcJ3RD3WIB41JnENzWKnbox0u8EdCAGQlnEl3GpNPHS7aayz7Kv4XQ__&Key-Pair-Id=APKAIE5G5CRDK6RD3PGA)
The study was conducted in hospitalized adults aged 18 to 34. Of course a small minority of adults that age are hospitalized. However, among those who were, the risk of having to go on a ventilator, for those who didn't have any risk factors (obesity, diabetes, or hypertension) was about 7%, and the risk of death was between 1 and 2%. You can see the dashed lines in the figure above to see the corresponding values in middle aged adults (35 - 64).
So, bottom line is that it is fair to characterize those people as low risk. But it is not "no risk".
BC
I can't find the thread where it was asked, but I know someone (Teejers?) has been wondering what the risk of COVID-19 is to young people without identifiable risk factors. The answer is that it is very low, but not zero.
The study was conducted in hospitalized adults aged 18 to 34. Of course a small minority of adults that age are hospitalized. However, among those who were, the risk of having to go on a ventilator, for those who didn't have any risk factors (obesity, diabetes, or hypertension) was about 7%, and the risk of death was between 1 and 2%. You can see the dashed lines in the figure above to see the corresponding values in middle aged adults (35 - 64).
So, bottom line is that it is fair to characterize those people as low risk. But it is not "no risk".
BC