06-21-2020, 03:33 AM
California's monitoring of its counties is shown on this page. I'm frustrated that counties (LAC is opening bars & cardrooms!!) are creating more opportunities for exposure despite already exceeding the thresholds, growing number of infections, with already excessive death rates.
Thresholds: >100 or >25 2-wk case rate/100K with >8% positive tests, >8% positive tests, >10% increase in hospitalized C19 patients, <20% ICU availability or <25% ventilators availability
The counties with any reports over the thresholds:
Fresno: 69.2 2-wk case rate/100K, 8.3% positive tests, 15.8% increase in hospitalized C19 patients.
Imperial: 835.9 2-wk case rate/100K, 22.3% positive tests
Kern: 13.6% increase in hospitalized C19
Kings: 170.7 2-wk case rate/100K, 31.2% increase in hospitalized C19, 6.2% of ICU available.
Los Angeles: 170.1 2-wk case rate/100K
Riverside: 120.2 2-wk case rate/100K, 9.4% positive tests, 19.1% increase in hospitalized C19
San Joaquin: 95.6 2-wk case rate/100K, 8.7% positive tests, 18.3% of ICU available
Stanislaus: 111.7 2-wk case rate/100K, 9.1% positive tests, 21.1% increase in hospitalized C19
Tulare: 135.0 2-wk case rate/100K, 11.0% positive tests, 52.7% increase in hospitalized C19, 18% of ICU available
Also, there is a threshold for 7-day test rate/100K of <150. Most counties are <150 in actual tests, but most of those are >100. It may be that the county must have the capacity to handle 150 per 100K per week, not that the residents must chose to be tested at that rate.
I know some counties are above the 25 2-wk case rate/100K, but are not shown as exceeding threshold, presumably because their percent positive tests are less than 8%. (If they are > 100 2-wk case rate/100K, they are flagged as exceeding threshold, no matter what their percent positive test rate is.)
The page was last updated June 20. I find it very suspicious that LA County is not flagged for percent positive rates. When I calculate the numbers for June 20 (ie, June 6-13), I get 8.4% (above the 8% threshold). The county's last single day less than 8% was 7.88% on June 1.
Thresholds: >100 or >25 2-wk case rate/100K with >8% positive tests, >8% positive tests, >10% increase in hospitalized C19 patients, <20% ICU availability or <25% ventilators availability
The counties with any reports over the thresholds:
Fresno: 69.2 2-wk case rate/100K, 8.3% positive tests, 15.8% increase in hospitalized C19 patients.
Imperial: 835.9 2-wk case rate/100K, 22.3% positive tests
Kern: 13.6% increase in hospitalized C19
Kings: 170.7 2-wk case rate/100K, 31.2% increase in hospitalized C19, 6.2% of ICU available.
Los Angeles: 170.1 2-wk case rate/100K
Riverside: 120.2 2-wk case rate/100K, 9.4% positive tests, 19.1% increase in hospitalized C19
San Joaquin: 95.6 2-wk case rate/100K, 8.7% positive tests, 18.3% of ICU available
Stanislaus: 111.7 2-wk case rate/100K, 9.1% positive tests, 21.1% increase in hospitalized C19
Tulare: 135.0 2-wk case rate/100K, 11.0% positive tests, 52.7% increase in hospitalized C19, 18% of ICU available
Also, there is a threshold for 7-day test rate/100K of <150. Most counties are <150 in actual tests, but most of those are >100. It may be that the county must have the capacity to handle 150 per 100K per week, not that the residents must chose to be tested at that rate.
I know some counties are above the 25 2-wk case rate/100K, but are not shown as exceeding threshold, presumably because their percent positive tests are less than 8%. (If they are > 100 2-wk case rate/100K, they are flagged as exceeding threshold, no matter what their percent positive test rate is.)
The page was last updated June 20. I find it very suspicious that LA County is not flagged for percent positive rates. When I calculate the numbers for June 20 (ie, June 6-13), I get 8.4% (above the 8% threshold). The county's last single day less than 8% was 7.88% on June 1.