[M T]

Per today's LA Times tracker Santa Clara is now failing the Governor's "Roadmap to Recovery" scorecard.  

One of the metrics is, "Less than 25 cases per 100,000 population in the last 14 days" and Santa Clara is now standing at 26.7.  Santa Clara had been the most populace county to fully meet the Roadmap standards.

Not good.

Actually, the state's requirements include a requirement that there be less than 25 cases per 100K population over the "last" 14 days OR less than 8% percent positive results in testing for the "last" week.  SCC easily meets that last criteria.  AFAIK, Los Angeles County was the only county failing (but Orange County doesn't publish those numbers).   ("last" actually means "last, ending X days before today" for a particular X)

I pointed out to the L.A. Times that they weren't reporting the percent positive failure.  They responded that not all counties were reporting those numbers, so they didn't have it in their (automated) pages.  (Since I contacted them, the state has added more requirements, mostly related to hospital status, which counties aren't all reporting.)

At 1.9M population, SCC has to have less than 475 cases in 14 days, or an average of 34 a day.  The county was down to 40 today.  The 14 days ending just before the first bump had 323 positive tests.
I really do feel that the bumps were due to the unique events, and SCC case count will drop back down.   But we shall see.

Because of the bumps, hospitalizations will increase for another week.  Hopefully, most of those exposed were younger to middle-aged, and the number of deaths won't immediately jump.  But, if they infect older people at home, we may see a bump in deaths in 2 to 3 weeks. I hope that won't happen.

[M T]

Per today's LA Times tracker Santa Clara is now failing the Governor's "Roadmap to Recovery" scorecard.  

One of the metrics is, "Less than 25 cases per 100,000 population in the last 14 days" and Santa Clara is now standing at 26.7.  Santa Clara had been the most populace county to fully meet the Roadmap standards.

Not good.

Actually, the state's requirements include a requirement that there be less than 25 cases per 100K population over the "last" 14 days OR less than 8% percent positive results in testing for the "last" week.  SCC easily meets that last criteria.  AFAIK, Los Angeles County was the only county failing (but Orange County doesn't publish those numbers).   ("last" actually means "last, ending X days before today" for a particular X)

I pointed out to the L.A. Times that they weren't reporting the percent positive failure.  They responded that not all counties were reporting those numbers, so they didn't have it in their (automated) pages.  (Since I contacted them, the state has added more requirements, mostly related to hospital status, which counties aren't all reporting.)

At 1.9M population, SCC has to have less than 475 cases in 14 days, or an average of 34 a day.  The county was down to 40 today.  The 14 days ending just before the first bump had 323 positive tests.
I really do feel that the bumps were due to the unique events, and SCC case count will drop back down.   But we shall see.

Because of the bumps, hospitalizations will increase for another week.  Hopefully, most of those exposed were younger to middle-aged, and the number of deaths won't immediately jump.  But, if they infect older people at home, we may see a bump in deaths in 2 to 3 weeks. I hope that won't happen.