[Snorlax94]

 Unfortunately, as of now, I see little evidence that San Mateo County, San Francisco County, and Santa Clara County are doing that, or can do that. 

I think we just don't know. Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence. But I think that it's highly unlikely that the public health officers who were so smart and proactive as to lead the nation in flattening the curve suddenly became so dumb as to not appreciate the need to contact trace all positives and to prepare for a surge in contact tracing, and to not appreciate the consequences of being unable to do that. If they're not ready, I doubt it's from lack of knowledge or effort. Until we actually know what is happening with the ramp-up in capability for contact tracing, I am willing to trust that they are continuing to do a good job. YMMV of course.

I posted on another thread that SCC has updated its page on contact tracing
https://www.sccgov.org/sites/covid19/Pag...acing.aspx

They say they can contact trace 25 cases a day.

SCC got below this level, then has jumped up in recent days, coupled with a dramatic uptick in testing. 

My hope is that the increases are due to contact tracing and that we’re catching more of the cases now, but we don’t know. Maybe it’s more contact tracing, maybe they recently tested some prisons, maybe lots of people were gathering for Mother’s Day, maybe people in SCC are getting lax.

[Snorlax94]

 Unfortunately, as of now, I see little evidence that San Mateo County, San Francisco County, and Santa Clara County are doing that, or can do that. 

I think we just don't know. Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence. But I think that it's highly unlikely that the public health officers who were so smart and proactive as to lead the nation in flattening the curve suddenly became so dumb as to not appreciate the need to contact trace all positives and to prepare for a surge in contact tracing, and to not appreciate the consequences of being unable to do that. If they're not ready, I doubt it's from lack of knowledge or effort. Until we actually know what is happening with the ramp-up in capability for contact tracing, I am willing to trust that they are continuing to do a good job. YMMV of course.

I posted on another thread that SCC has updated its page on contact tracing
https://www.sccgov.org/sites/covid19/Pag...acing.aspx

They say they can contact trace 25 cases a day.

SCC got below this level, then has jumped up in recent days, coupled with a dramatic uptick in testing. 

My hope is that the increases are due to contact tracing and that we’re catching more of the cases now, but we don’t know. Maybe it’s more contact tracing, maybe they recently tested some prisons, maybe lots of people were gathering for Mother’s Day, maybe people in SCC are getting lax.