[Goose]

No, wait a few more weeks.



Remember, it's about a week from infection to symptoms and then maybe another week until you're sick enough to end up in the hospital.  Plus, exponential growth is slow initially (in absolute numbers).  So I wouldn't expect the dial to move a lot until maybe June.

One other thing we don't know is to what extent (if any) the Georgia counties are able to contact trace and cut down on spread that way. I doubt they are "ready" there either, but if they are it could help a lot. Rt below 1, however achieved, is required. I sure hope they can do it, but I really have my doubts given what (admittedly little) I know.

Unfortunately, I think we in California are also pretty much in the dark about what our counties and state can actually do in this regard. I see no reports of the number quarantined people corresponding to the number of detected cases. When they start publishing that data, then we will have some idea how it is going. Until then, who knows?

[Goose]

No, wait a few more weeks.



Remember, it's about a week from infection to symptoms and then maybe another week until you're sick enough to end up in the hospital.  Plus, exponential growth is slow initially (in absolute numbers).  So I wouldn't expect the dial to move a lot until maybe June.

One other thing we don't know is to what extent (if any) the Georgia counties are able to contact trace and cut down on spread that way. I doubt they are "ready" there either, but if they are it could help a lot. Rt below 1, however achieved, is required. I sure hope they can do it, but I really have my doubts given what (admittedly little) I know.

Unfortunately, I think we in California are also pretty much in the dark about what our counties and state can actually do in this regard. I see no reports of the number quarantined people corresponding to the number of detected cases. When they start publishing that data, then we will have some idea how it is going. Until then, who knows?