05-03-2020, 03:26 PM
Yeah I could see sports events and political rallies being an exception to the general rule of outdoors being low risk because sporting events have the combination of:
- extreme concentration of people (close enough to high-five someone two rows behind you)
- massive raw numbers (tens of thousands)
- prolonged exposure (2+ hour events)
- people screaming/chanting/expectorating, at their maximum volume, for hours
- additionally, because stadiums are partially enclosed, ventilation is worse
My guess is that beaches, even if there were thousands of people, would be reasonably safe, as long as people were more than 20’ apart.
My largest concerns about the beach is that people could stay there a long time (so if the breeze always blew in roughly the same direction, one infected person could keep spraying the same people downstream), and that it could facilitate multiple households mixing a little too regularly.
But overall, my guess is that it’s safe. Plus, if you feel sick, you might go to a friend’s house, but it’s less likely you’d trek out to a beach.
I am all for transitioning as many activities as possible outdoors, as long as the crowds are not large, the sick stay home, and things are spread out.
- extreme concentration of people (close enough to high-five someone two rows behind you)
- massive raw numbers (tens of thousands)
- prolonged exposure (2+ hour events)
- people screaming/chanting/expectorating, at their maximum volume, for hours
- additionally, because stadiums are partially enclosed, ventilation is worse
My guess is that beaches, even if there were thousands of people, would be reasonably safe, as long as people were more than 20’ apart.
My largest concerns about the beach is that people could stay there a long time (so if the breeze always blew in roughly the same direction, one infected person could keep spraying the same people downstream), and that it could facilitate multiple households mixing a little too regularly.
But overall, my guess is that it’s safe. Plus, if you feel sick, you might go to a friend’s house, but it’s less likely you’d trek out to a beach.
I am all for transitioning as many activities as possible outdoors, as long as the crowds are not large, the sick stay home, and things are spread out.
