[teejers1]

(In anticipation of someone arguing that we therefore should drop the SiP, I'll point out at this point, without SiP, two weeks from now we'd be about where we were 2 weeks into SiP.)

How can you say that with any certainty?  Are you assuming any self-regulation at all?  Are you assuming self-regulation but "offsetting" that with a greater number of asymptomatic people out there who will be prime spreaders (i.e., at a level greater than when SiP initiated)?

Last question:  do these testing numbers pertain only to positive/negative test for the virus?  Does the same test reveal antibodies (I assume no, but am no doctor and haven't been reading the study evaluations in these parts in any detail).

The hospital capacity numbers (which I view as the most important for decision-making purposes) are encouraging . . . at least as I read them.

[teejers1]

(In anticipation of someone arguing that we therefore should drop the SiP, I'll point out at this point, without SiP, two weeks from now we'd be about where we were 2 weeks into SiP.)

How can you say that with any certainty?  Are you assuming any self-regulation at all?  Are you assuming self-regulation but "offsetting" that with a greater number of asymptomatic people out there who will be prime spreaders (i.e., at a level greater than when SiP initiated)?

Last question:  do these testing numbers pertain only to positive/negative test for the virus?  Does the same test reveal antibodies (I assume no, but am no doctor and haven't been reading the study evaluations in these parts in any detail).

The hospital capacity numbers (which I view as the most important for decision-making purposes) are encouraging . . . at least as I read them.