04-03-2020, 07:35 AM
An excellent thread on the antibody test--read the whole thing.
TL,DR: via the magic of Bayesian statistics, the test is going to produce a brobdingnagian number of false positives as long as the actual number of infected people is small. This could kill people if they let down their guard based on a positive test.
[tweet]https://twitter.com/zbinney_NFLinj/status/1245789672833417217[/tweet]
TL,DR: via the magic of Bayesian statistics, the test is going to produce a brobdingnagian number of false positives as long as the actual number of infected people is small. This could kill people if they let down their guard based on a positive test.
[tweet]https://twitter.com/zbinney_NFLinj/status/1245789672833417217[/tweet]
