[BostonCard]

It is also worth noting that their estimates have a broad confidence interval:

Nationwide, a total of 83,967 COVID-19 deaths (range of 36,614 to 152,582) are currently projected to occur through the epidemic’s first wave.

To the extent that I have a complaint about the modeling is that the range of uncertainties seems somewhat too restricted.  While I get that they have to work with the model they have, they don't make allowances for a second wave, for example.  My mental confidence interval would probably extend by an order of magnitude: 84,000 (36,000 - 1.5 million).

BC

[BostonCard]

It is also worth noting that their estimates have a broad confidence interval:

Nationwide, a total of 83,967 COVID-19 deaths (range of 36,614 to 152,582) are currently projected to occur through the epidemic’s first wave.

To the extent that I have a complaint about the modeling is that the range of uncertainties seems somewhat too restricted.  While I get that they have to work with the model they have, they don't make allowances for a second wave, for example.  My mental confidence interval would probably extend by an order of magnitude: 84,000 (36,000 - 1.5 million).

BC