[2006alum]

Returning to the subject of this thread, interesting new estimates from the Imperial College crew on SARS-COV-2 attack rates by country, and what this means for whether the R0 has fallen below 1. The good news is that R0 seems to fall below 1 pretty rapidly once social distancing measures are implemented:

[tweet]https://twitter.com/joshmich/status/1244645728619827200?s=20[/tweet]

And they take a crack at trying to estimate the lives saved as a result:
[tweet]https://twitter.com/joshmich/status/1244645735381032961?s=20[/tweet]

[2006alum]

Returning to the subject of this thread, interesting new estimates from the Imperial College crew on SARS-COV-2 attack rates by country, and what this means for whether the R0 has fallen below 1. The good news is that R0 seems to fall below 1 pretty rapidly once social distancing measures are implemented:

[tweet]https://twitter.com/joshmich/status/1244645728619827200?s=20[/tweet]

And they take a crack at trying to estimate the lives saved as a result:
[tweet]https://twitter.com/joshmich/status/1244645735381032961?s=20[/tweet]