[stupac2]

There should be another metric for "game drama" based on swings in probability.

There is one! https://fivethirtyeight.com/tag/excitement-index/

I'm not aware of anyone who does this sort of thing regularly, but your idea (larger changes in probability = more exciting) has precedent.

[stupac2]

There should be another metric for "game drama" based on swings in probability.

There is one! https://fivethirtyeight.com/tag/excitement-index/

I'm not aware of anyone who does this sort of thing regularly, but your idea (larger changes in probability = more exciting) has precedent.