10-03-2017, 04:19 PM
(10-03-2017, 03:19 PM)CTcard link Wrote:Perez vs Alfieri and Palma is a bit of a mystery, but for now I am assuming Alfieri isn't quite 100%. Palma I am less sure about - but he is slower. Perez gets a bit of a bad rap here. He makes mistakes, which are bad and well noted, but he also makes plays that nobody seems to notice. He is #4 on the team in tackles, despite playing time well behind several others. He must be just about the top for tackles per play on the field.
Well, I'm never quite sure how seriously to take tackles as a performance (rather than descriptive) stat. If your tackle comes 20 yards downfield versus 1 yard past line of scrimmage, there's a much different value attached to that tackle. If you tackle a player (ultimately) but let him drag you two or three yards past initial contact, how good are you at tackling?
One stat that gets at some of what we're interested in is a new one from Bill Connelly (https://www.footballstudyhall.com/pages/...al-profile -- look for the "individual defensive stats" section.). Connelly's tracking two new types of stats: "success rate" and "run stuffs."
Success rate is the defensive flip of his usual success rate stat: i.e. when a given defensive player makes a tackle, how frequently is the tackle resulting in a successful play for the offense? (So if I tackle you after a two yard gain, that's an unsuccessful play for the offense.) A lower percentage, reflecting fewer successful plays, is better.
Then there's "run stuffs," which are tackles at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Perez has 0 run stuffs, which puts him behind Alfieri (2), but tied with Okereke, Palma and Barton. Meanwhile, on success rate, Perez's tackles result in successful plays 62.5 percent of the time. That's higher than Alfieri (45.5%), Okereke (46.9%), and Barton (33.3%). It's marginally higher than Palma (60%). Perez's success rate is also higher than Justin Reid's (58.8%), which is a bad sign, as your success rate surrendered should drop the closer you get to the line.
Perez has neither tackles for loss nor sacks nor passes broken up. (Alfieri has 1.5 TFL; Palma and Okereke 1 each. Palma has a PBU.) Perez has a lone QB hurry, but Okereke has 3 and Alfieri 1.
However you slice it -- except for tackles, a stat I've always been ambivalent about -- Perez comes near the bottom of the ILB group. To be fair, none of the ILB are exactly performing splendidly. But Perez is the worst of a mediocre bunch. I genuinely have no idea what benefit he brings to the team as a starter.
