[stupac2]

Elite QBs often don't turn out well.

Of the 22 Elite 11 quarterbacks in the 2014 and 2015 class, only 12 are currently starting for their college teams., and only two rank in the top 20 for pass efficiency.  Throw in Watson, who left early, and that's three top 20 QBs our of an elite group of 22. 

Note the Hogan ranked 4th or 5h in the country in his senior year. . .

So the hit rate for a top-10-ish HS QB in the country turning into a top-25-ish college QB is roughly 15%? If that's the case, then we're wildly overperforming.

Although it does make Shaw's decision to skip taking a QB one year look all the more unwise. You can't win the lottery if you don't buy a ticket!

[stupac2]

Elite QBs often don't turn out well.

Of the 22 Elite 11 quarterbacks in the 2014 and 2015 class, only 12 are currently starting for their college teams., and only two rank in the top 20 for pass efficiency.  Throw in Watson, who left early, and that's three top 20 QBs our of an elite group of 22. 

Note the Hogan ranked 4th or 5h in the country in his senior year. . .

So the hit rate for a top-10-ish HS QB in the country turning into a top-25-ish college QB is roughly 15%? If that's the case, then we're wildly overperforming.

Although it does make Shaw's decision to skip taking a QB one year look all the more unwise. You can't win the lottery if you don't buy a ticket!