11-08-2011, 06:46 PM
We convert ONLY 53% of our 3rd downs, so clearly, we are getting a fair number of 4th downs.
I meant to qualify that we should go on any 4th down of less than 10 yards. Perhaps we can push that to the Stanford 30, so Oregon would start with the ball outside FG range if the ball is handed over on downs. Our 23 punts is least in the Pac12 (Oregon has punted 33.)
I can't find any stats on distribution on length of drives, so it's hard for me to back up with the limited data on cfbstats.com. Interestingly, Stanford has more plays of 10+ yards from scrimmage than Oregon (159 vs. 150). However, they have twice as many place of 40+ yards (19 for them vs. 10 for us).
Also, we're an incredible 100% on 4th down conversion on 10 attempts. (What's the record for the season?) Granted, most of those were 4th and 1 or 2, and we haven't had any last minute desperation drives where we were forced to go on 4th and 10, but that's phenomenal. By contrast, Oregon is 7 of 15.
I just think that the worst thing you can do, strategically, against Oregon is give them the ball. Anything you can do to delay that, or avoid it altogether, should be explored.
I meant to qualify that we should go on any 4th down of less than 10 yards. Perhaps we can push that to the Stanford 30, so Oregon would start with the ball outside FG range if the ball is handed over on downs. Our 23 punts is least in the Pac12 (Oregon has punted 33.)
I can't find any stats on distribution on length of drives, so it's hard for me to back up with the limited data on cfbstats.com. Interestingly, Stanford has more plays of 10+ yards from scrimmage than Oregon (159 vs. 150). However, they have twice as many place of 40+ yards (19 for them vs. 10 for us).
Also, we're an incredible 100% on 4th down conversion on 10 attempts. (What's the record for the season?) Granted, most of those were 4th and 1 or 2, and we haven't had any last minute desperation drives where we were forced to go on 4th and 10, but that's phenomenal. By contrast, Oregon is 7 of 15.
I just think that the worst thing you can do, strategically, against Oregon is give them the ball. Anything you can do to delay that, or avoid it altogether, should be explored.