10-26-2011, 08:34 PM
As Garvin says, a voter who differs wildly from the average is not necessarily a bad voter. So let's take a look at Wilner's preseason poll to see how his "extreme" predictions have held up so far, recognizing that the jury is still out on many of these teams.
Preseason Poll:
http://www.pollspeak.com/component/optio...w,1/w_1,1/
Parentheses show Wilner's preseason ranking for each team.
Wrong:
Texas A&M (preseason #4, already have 2 losses)
West Virginia (preseason #7, just got blown out by Syracuse)
Mississippi State (preseason #11, team is 3-4)
BYU (preseason #15, lost 54-10 to Utah)
Air Force (preseason #19, now 3-4)
Hawaii (preseason #25, lost to SJSU and UNLV)
Arkansas (preseason unranked, now he has them at #6 above Stanford)
Right so far:
Arizona State (preseason #21, Wilner was 2nd highest)
TCU (unranked preseason; TCU now unranked in AP poll)
USC (#17, 3rd highest; USC is now #21)
Jury still out:
Boise State (preseason #2, high)
Oklahoma State (preseason #16, low)
Virginia Tech (preseason #24, lowest)
Wisconsin (preseason #20)
Looks to me like his extreme predictions have turned out much more bad than good.
Preseason Poll:
http://www.pollspeak.com/component/optio...w,1/w_1,1/
Parentheses show Wilner's preseason ranking for each team.
Wrong:
Texas A&M (preseason #4, already have 2 losses)
West Virginia (preseason #7, just got blown out by Syracuse)
Mississippi State (preseason #11, team is 3-4)
BYU (preseason #15, lost 54-10 to Utah)
Air Force (preseason #19, now 3-4)
Hawaii (preseason #25, lost to SJSU and UNLV)
Arkansas (preseason unranked, now he has them at #6 above Stanford)
Right so far:
Arizona State (preseason #21, Wilner was 2nd highest)
TCU (unranked preseason; TCU now unranked in AP poll)
USC (#17, 3rd highest; USC is now #21)
Jury still out:
Boise State (preseason #2, high)
Oklahoma State (preseason #16, low)
Virginia Tech (preseason #24, lowest)
Wisconsin (preseason #20)
Looks to me like his extreme predictions have turned out much more bad than good.

