[stupac2]

So stupac hits on the economic incentive. Because the rookie contracts are so low these days, there's not a of exceedingly large proportions difference between being a 3rd or 4th rounder. Hence the incentive is to get your rookie deal over as quickly as possible and get to the second contract, which is where the real money is.

Well, unless you have the potential to move from a 3rd-rounder to a 1st-rounder, the difference in earnings there is meaningful. But that's not especially likely for any given player. And the issue is still about timing, that is whether that extra year of no money matters to you, which is highly dependent on circumstances.

Anyway the takeaway is that this is a highly personal decision with no real right answer. I can understand leaving early, even if you're a mid-round prospect, and I can understanding staying, even if you're a sure-fire #1 overall.

[stupac2]

So stupac hits on the economic incentive. Because the rookie contracts are so low these days, there's not a of exceedingly large proportions difference between being a 3rd or 4th rounder. Hence the incentive is to get your rookie deal over as quickly as possible and get to the second contract, which is where the real money is.

Well, unless you have the potential to move from a 3rd-rounder to a 1st-rounder, the difference in earnings there is meaningful. But that's not especially likely for any given player. And the issue is still about timing, that is whether that extra year of no money matters to you, which is highly dependent on circumstances.

Anyway the takeaway is that this is a highly personal decision with no real right answer. I can understand leaving early, even if you're a mid-round prospect, and I can understanding staying, even if you're a sure-fire #1 overall.