[winflop]

It's a bit more sophisticated than that BC.  It's a Monte Carlo simulation based on their FPI.

I really think there are only four teams truly capable of winning the conference title at this point: Utah, Stanford, U$C, and UCLA.  Stanford could slip once more and still win the North, only because the division is that weak (I doubt any other team will be better than 6-3 and only Oregon & Cal will finish over .500).  But I could see a 7-2 team winning the South and then beating Stanford in the CCG.  I'm not sure I'd go as high as 70%, but that's purely on gut/eye test.

[winflop]

It's a bit more sophisticated than that BC.  It's a Monte Carlo simulation based on their FPI.

I really think there are only four teams truly capable of winning the conference title at this point: Utah, Stanford, U$C, and UCLA.  Stanford could slip once more and still win the North, only because the division is that weak (I doubt any other team will be better than 6-3 and only Oregon & Cal will finish over .500).  But I could see a 7-2 team winning the South and then beating Stanford in the CCG.  I'm not sure I'd go as high as 70%, but that's purely on gut/eye test.