[washingtonismoney]

I'm surprised, though, that there's such resistance to using statistically-based forecasts at all -- I don't want to misconstrue your position, CTCard, but it seems like you're skeptical of most efforts to statistically forecast the results of an upcoming season. The persistence of certain schools in the AP rankings provides a prima facie case that a very simple heuristic, for instance, could predict the results of a season reasonably well.

So why not statistics? You have some objection, I gather, to hidden methodologies. Is that all?

[washingtonismoney]

I'm surprised, though, that there's such resistance to using statistically-based forecasts at all -- I don't want to misconstrue your position, CTCard, but it seems like you're skeptical of most efforts to statistically forecast the results of an upcoming season. The persistence of certain schools in the AP rankings provides a prima facie case that a very simple heuristic, for instance, could predict the results of a season reasonably well.

So why not statistics? You have some objection, I gather, to hidden methodologies. Is that all?