08-26-2015, 01:59 PM
The thing that these statistics don't take into account is that the teams this year are not the teams from last year. There are new players, new combinations of players. Some have more experience now. In Ca.l's case, it's year three after a coaching change at a rebuilding project. Typically these days, year three is where the biggest jump in competitiveness happens.Â
When you add in the fact Goff might be the best QB in the conference, with the best WRs in the conference potentially as well, I'm betting on that to re-set the par for what is expected from Ca.l. Of course, they will lose a lot of those talented passing game pieces after this season, possibly including Goff, so this year may in some way be an anomaly for them, and they could very well revert to the mean in 2016.
But we're not talking about 2016. We're talking about 2015. You have a a great QB and quality RBs, an improved though still suspect OL, and a better but still not great or likely even better than mediocre defense. Still, a team like that can jump up and surprise a few opponents, particularly if Goff leads the way.
My take on Ca.l is if they lose to Texas they go 7-5. If they beat Texas they go 8-4.
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When you add in the fact Goff might be the best QB in the conference, with the best WRs in the conference potentially as well, I'm betting on that to re-set the par for what is expected from Ca.l. Of course, they will lose a lot of those talented passing game pieces after this season, possibly including Goff, so this year may in some way be an anomaly for them, and they could very well revert to the mean in 2016.
But we're not talking about 2016. We're talking about 2015. You have a a great QB and quality RBs, an improved though still suspect OL, and a better but still not great or likely even better than mediocre defense. Still, a team like that can jump up and surprise a few opponents, particularly if Goff leads the way.
My take on Ca.l is if they lose to Texas they go 7-5. If they beat Texas they go 8-4.
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