02-04-2015, 03:39 PM
In honor of NSD, Fivethirtyeight did a nice piece comparing expected performance based on recruiting rankings to actual performance (based on the Massey rating).
![[Image: pettigrew-datalab-signing-day-2.png?w=610&h=2118]](https://espnfivethirtyeight.files.wordpress.com/2015/02/pettigrew-datalab-signing-day-2.png?w=610&h=2118)
Stanford does pretty well, and would be better if we excluded two years under Wlat from the actual performance.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/after...-recruits/
Among our rivals, USC is surprisingly slightly above what would have been expected (probably on the strength of the last few Pete Carroll years). Notre Dame, UCLA, Washington, and Cal all are slight underperformers.
BC
![[Image: pettigrew-datalab-signing-day-2.png?w=610&h=2118]](https://espnfivethirtyeight.files.wordpress.com/2015/02/pettigrew-datalab-signing-day-2.png?w=610&h=2118)
Stanford does pretty well, and would be better if we excluded two years under Wlat from the actual performance.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/after...-recruits/
Among our rivals, USC is surprisingly slightly above what would have been expected (probably on the strength of the last few Pete Carroll years). Notre Dame, UCLA, Washington, and Cal all are slight underperformers.
BC
