(11-04-2017, 07:29 PM)winflop link Wrote:[quote author=stupac2 link=topic=17902.msg210728#msg210728 date=1509847850]
[quote author=Boston Card link=topic=17902.msg210724#msg210724 date=1509846628]Given that we lost by 3, it is not that hard to imagine that better QB play could have won us this game. The game was very similar to two years ago, when Hogan won it for us with his running as WSU bottled McCaffrey up.
Yeah, I'm not going to argue that, but I don't think it's clear that Costello played particularly poorly given the circumstances. Obviously he could've made a few better throws or whatever, but it's not obvious that he was missing because he's bad vs because there was consistently someone barreling down on him. No QB is all that great under pressure.
(11-04-2017, 06:54 PM)washingtonismoney link Wrote:Yeah, a lot of people seem to be taking this as some sort of existential crisis. Which is weird to me. Depending on when you put money down, Stanford was either favored by two or a three point dog. IIRC Bill Connelly's system thought WSU was about 54% to win, and ESPN's FPI was a bit more bullish on the Cougs. It's just not terribly shocking or disturbing that Stanford lost in this situation.
Right. I feel "better" about this game vs last game, even though it's still pretty annoying that we couldn't manage to pull it out.
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Costello's play, while not good, is not why they lost. Among players, the OL is the main reason they lost. They were as bad today as they were against U$¢. But more than anything, the offensive coaching was as bad as it's been. It reminded me of the Rose Bowl loss to MSU and a couple others since. The problem I see is that Shawgren are repeating the same mistakes and not learning from them.
I would really like to see four things happen this offseason - I'd be happy if we got one or two:
1. Replace Bloomgren at OC
2. Give the new OC the offensive playcalling duties
3. Replace Pritchard
4. Use the new additional coach slot to hire a full time OL coach
The biggest problem today was not running play action when WSU was putting 8 & 9 players up on the line. Not sure if that was a coaching issue or that Costello wasn't (or couldn't) check into play action. Probably some of both. But FFS when defenses do that you have to punish them.
Based on the last two games, this team finishes 7-5 at best and goes to the I-Don't-Give-A-Hoot Bowl
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According to WiM we tried a few play-action passes and they got blew up because we couldn't block anyone. I initially was with you but if he's right, then eh.
In general I think playcalling as a source of problems is overrated. For one, it doesn't appear to be a consistent ability that coaches have (I believe WiM has documented this extensively, but Kyle Shanahan is a great example of this fluctuating year-to-year). But beyond that, it's nearly impossible as a fan to tell why a playcall failed. It could be a bad call against the defense, it could be a great defensive play, it could be one (or more) offensive players failing to execute, it could just be bad luck. Even if an offense is failing consistently (which, by the way, isn't obviously true, FEI has us as the #24 offense in the country going into that game, so we'll probably fall but not by a ton) it's still going to be hard to pin on any one thing.
Anyway, moving beyond that, given that we get an extra coach after this season I think it's an excuse to shake things up a bit. Shaw is clearly not afraid to bring in coaches from the outside (Akina and Gould to name a couple recent ones), maybe it makes sense to suggest a couple guys try a change of scenery to broaden their horizons and bring in some new blood (after all, everyone gets a new coach so there will be tons of openings). I don't know if I have any particular guys in mind, but using it as an opportunity to bring in some new blood/ideas would make sense to me.