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Your midweek gambling update - washingtonismoney - 09-05-2012

After opening up at -14, the public's bet the Duke line up to -15 in most books.


Re: Your midweek gambling update - socalstanfan1 - 09-06-2012

This is interesting, and for me a bit surprising.  I thought a wide spread after the respective performances of the two teams in week 1 would result in a lot of action on Duke, and thus a movement of the line down. 


Re: Your midweek gambling update - Renaissance Man - 09-06-2012

The last time a school came out from back East for a night game, Stanford scored 70 (and could have scored 100) against a Wake Forest team that had beaten us the year before.  Bettors are very aware that the game will finish at around 2:00 AM, Duke time.


Re: Your midweek gambling update - teejers1 - 09-06-2012

I don't buy the late start time hurts Duke theory.  Now, playing at 9:00 a.m. is admittedly tougher, but late starts don't strike me as that troubling (maybe because I am generally a night owl).

Duke +15 looks like a mortal lock, btw.  I obviously hope not, but if I were in Vegas and had to bet, that's the way I'd go.


Re: Your midweek gambling update - washingtonismoney - 09-06-2012

Actually, East Coast usually do poorly in these situations: http://deadspin.com/5934440/the-circadian-advantage-how-sleep-patterns-benefit-certain-nfl-teams


Re: Your midweek gambling update - dfbf - 09-06-2012

I would not read too much into that 2010 Wake Forest game because Wake's defense was atrocious any time of day.  I was in Winston-Salem to see the Deacs beat Duke 54-48 the week before.  They also gave up 62 to Maryland and about 49 to Virginia Tech in the first half.

I don't see the start time or the scouting report from SJSU--Coach Mac was previously Duke's DC under Cutcliffe--factoring into this game.  Stanford won the relative recruiting battle for the 2008-2010 classes, and a number of key Duke players were injured before camp started, particularly on defense.  Almost any margin in this game would not surprise me.
 
Looking forward to my trip.  Saturday starts with a trip downtown to see a few sites by cable car, then by BART for an early college football game, and finally by Caltrain to our game.  ;)  Here's to an injury-free game between two bowl teams.