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The key stat - washingtonismoney - 10-24-2015

UW's defensive success is driven by their sacks. They have 16 so far this year; 13 in the past three games.

Obviously this drastically influences the perception of what UW is good at. With sacks folded into rushing statistics, UW gives up 3.11 yards per carry. The Christian McCaffrey vs. UW rushing defense then appears to be a titanic strength-vs-strength matchup. Take the sacks out and their yards per carry surrendered goes up to 3.71. Concentrate just on conference opponents and you've suddenly got 4.46 yards per carry -- solid, but by no means overwhelming. Freeman went for 5.1 yards per carry, below his season average but certainly pretty solid. SC gashed UW on the ground when they bothered to run.

Stanford will probably run the ball and probably be reasonably successful -- though not as successful as they're accustomed to. Which means they need to avoid sacks.


Re: The key stat - BostonCard - 10-24-2015

Yeah, I really wish the NCAA would start folding sack numbers into passing totals the way the NFL does.

BC


Re: The key stat - winflop - 10-24-2015

I think tonight's key stat will be time of possession.  If UW has the ball for less than 25 mins it's gonna get ugly in the fourth quarter.


Re: The key stat - terry - 10-24-2015

(10-24-2015, 12:05 PM)washingtonismoney link Wrote:UW's defensive success is driven by their sacks. They have 16 so far this year; 13 in the past three games.

Obviously this drastically influences the perception of what UW is good at. With sacks folded into rushing statistics, UW gives up 3.11 yards per carry. The Christian McCaffrey vs. UW rushing defense then appears to be a titanic strength-vs-strength matchup. Take the sacks out and their yards per carry surrendered goes up to 3.71. Concentrate just on conference opponents and you've suddenly got 4.46 yards per carry -- solid, but by no means overwhelming. Freeman went for 5.1 yards per carry, below his season average but certainly pretty solid. SC gashed UW on the ground when they bothered to run.

Stanford will probably run the ball and probably be reasonably successful -- though not as successful as they're accustomed to. Which means they need to avoid sacks.


Nice analysis.


Re: The key stat - CTcard - 10-24-2015

(10-24-2015, 12:05 PM)washingtonismoney link Wrote:Stanford will probably run the ball and probably be reasonably successful -- though not as successful as they're accustomed to.

I hope that means they don't abandon the run game ala Northwestern ... unless UW is really giving us the air.


Re: The key stat - washingtonismoney - 10-24-2015

(10-24-2015, 04:31 PM)CTcard link Wrote:I hope that means they don't abandon the run game ala Northwestern ... unless UW is really giving us the air.

Perhaps not, though I think we (still) have different interpretations of that game.


Re: The key stat - BostonCard - 10-24-2015

(10-24-2015, 01:58 PM)winflop link Wrote:I think tonight's key stat will be time of possession.  If UW has the ball for less than 25 mins it's gonna get ugly in the fourth quarter.

https://twitter.com/gomightycard/status/658130561622405120

So far so good.  At this rate, UW won't hit 20 min.

BC


Re: The key stat - amartinsu13 - 10-24-2015

^ They didn't!  40:05 to 19:55


Re: The key stat - winflop - 10-25-2015

(10-24-2015, 11:26 PM)amartinsu13 link Wrote:^ They didn't!  40:05 to 19:55

I rest my case, your honor