Women's Hoops Recruiting Class of 2026+ - Printable Version
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+--- Thread: Women's Hoops Recruiting Class of 2026+ (/thread-25276.html)
RE: triangle2 - 2006alum - 11-18-2025
(11-18-2025, 10:51 AM)stopandpop Wrote:(11-18-2025, 05:16 AM)pauloalto Wrote: Elyse Ngenda added 11/18/25
Click here to resize in a new tab ...
https://i.ibb.co/mCkCg1dH/WBB-Nov18-25.jpg
With new rules going into effect next year the roster limit will be 15 with no walk-ons above that allowed.
I'm about 80% sure that (unless things change soon) Eschmeyer will transfer. Colorado, UCLA and USC likely targets, which means Umeh will be the only other true Big on the 2026-2027 roster. Kate may be OK with that since the offense is not post-centered.
![[Image: WBB-Nov18-25.jpg]](https://i.ibb.co/mCkCg1dH/WBB-Nov18-25.jpg)
What is this based on? Unless you have insider knowledge, I feel like this kind of uninformed speculation serves no purpose.
[split] Class of 2026+ - BobK - 11-18-2025
Wow her parents are going to be surprised
RE: Class of 2026+ - martyup - 11-18-2025
It is far too early in the season to predict transfers due to lack of play time. However, it is not too early to hold the opinion that players of the caliber of Eschmeyer and Somfai will likely transfer if they don't see significant playing time on this team this season.
RE: Class of 2026+ - CompSci87 - 11-19-2025
Since we seem to be done with the early signing period now (well, today is the last day), I've created the new 2027+ recruiting thread as https://thecardboard.org/board/showthread.php?tid=25884.
I'll close the 2026 thread soon. After that if any more 2026 activity happens, we can discuss it in the 2027 thread.
RE: Class of 2026+ - BostonCard - 11-20-2025
(11-18-2025, 11:09 AM)martyup Wrote: It is far too early in the season to predict transfers due to lack of play time. However, it is not too early to hold the opinion that players of the caliber of Eschmeyer and Somfai will likely transfer if they don't see significant playing time on this team this season.
Assertion without evidence. It is impossible to know what motivates any particular player to play at a particular school. Yes, some players are going to be heavily influenced by the availability of playing time, and I am sure that if I were, say, UCLA and were looking to replete my roster for 2026 after a bunch of players leave, I would look at high quality players who aren't getting a lot of playing time and see if I could get them to transfer like Betts did (note, while playing time was a contributing factor to Betts' decision to transfer, I think the bigger issue was one of feeling supported and mental health). But other players might be looking at the value of their degree, or bonds with their teammates, or any one of a gazillion other factors beyond playing time.
A coach is going to need to handle a myriad of different things, and is not simply going to play a player because of some vague concern that they might transfer if they don't get playing time. The reason to play certain players is because they give us the best chance of winning, and I think for the most part, our high quality freshmen players (Somfai, Eschmeyer, Swain) do that, which is why I expect that generally, they will earn playing time. Swain and Somfai have started all 5 games for us, while Eschmeyer is averaging 13 minutes a game off the bench.
The important thing to managing potential dissatisfaction with minutes (and there will always be someone who thinks they deserve more minutes than they got) is good communication. Players become dissatisfied when they view decisions as arbitrary and capricious, but if they understand where they stand and what they need to do to get more minutes, that usually diffuses concerns about playing time. In today's day and age, it doesn't eliminate the possibility of a transfer of course, but I think the assertion that so and so will transfer unless they see more playing time is way too simplistic.
BC
RE: Class of 2026+ - martyup - 11-20-2025
(11-20-2025, 09:51 PM)BostonCard Wrote:(11-18-2025, 11:09 AM)martyup Wrote: . . . it is not too early to hold the opinion that players of the caliber of Eschmeyer and Somfai will likely transfer if they don't see significant playing time on this team this season.
Assertion without evidence. . . .
BC
The evidence is the current trend in college sports, with top players being poached with outrageous NIL $ offers and promises of more playing time. I didn't say they "would" transfer. I said they will "likely" transfer if they don't see significant playing time. The good news is that both of them saw plenty of court time tonight against UC Davis. Somfai is solid and finished with a double-double. Eschmeyer is still a work in progress, but she shows great potential to be another player at the level of Brink.
RE: Class of 2026+ - BostonCard - 11-20-2025
There were 1300 or so transfers last year (link).
There are over 16,000 women's basketball players (link). Of these 5,048 are in Division I.
That means that despite the fact that the number is a substantial increase over years past, and way too high, only a minority (~8% of all women's basketball players) transfer in any given year. That might be enriched among Division I players, but it is still a minority (it would be a quarter if the 1300 transfers were only D1, but so far as I know the transfer portal is not limited to division I players), and it is surely enriched among players who are dissatisfied for whatever reason, one of which may be lack of playing time.
But, no, the evidence does suggest that a player is "likely" (which I define as a greater than 50% probability of transferring) to leave if they don't get a lot of playing time. After all, in a 15 scholarship team, 10 players will not be starters and probably half do not get more than 10 minutes game. And yet half do not transfer each year.
I'm not disputing that a player "might" transfer for playing time, or NIL, or, for any reason whatsoever (or even for no reason at all). Many (way too many IMHO) do. But I don't think the evidence shows that a majority of players who don't get "enough" playing time transfer.
BC
RE: Class of 2026+ - CompSci87 - 11-21-2025
Since I closed this thread it's become the mods debating society: no one else can post. :-)
RE: Class of 2026+ - BostonCard - 11-21-2025
LOL, my bad. Unfortunately, the only indication that the thread is closed is the checkbox on moderator options that I never look at, so I didn’t think the thread was closed, I thought it was just unpinned from the top.
Quote:I'll close the 2026 thread soon. After that if any more 2026 activity happens, we can discuss it in the 2027 thread.
To quote the Smiths, “How soon is now?”
BC
RE: Class of 2026+ - CompSci87 - 11-21-2025
(11-21-2025, 01:16 AM)BostonCard Wrote: LOL, my bad. Unfortunately, the only indication that the thread is closed is the checkbox on moderator options that I never look at, so I didn’t think the thread was closed, I thought it was just unpinned from the top.
Quote:I'll close the 2026 thread soon. After that if any more 2026 activity happens, we can discuss it in the 2027 thread.
To quote the Smiths, “How soon is now?”
BC
Yeah, saying "soon" and then closing the thread without posting again to say it's closed now was my bad. :-)